Countdown to UNFCC COP26 Glasgow

Countdown to UNFCC COP26 Glasgow

For the last 21+ years we have been told by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC):

During Novermber 2020, between 10,000 and 20,000 delgates, politians and media will fly in from all over the world into Glasgow to attend the COP26 conference

• CO2 is a well-mixed gas in the atmosphere
• CO2 increases temperature
• Temperatures will increase
• Storms will become more frequent and more severe
• Drought will occur more frequently
• Floods will occur more frequently
• Sea levels will rise by meters

The Conference of the Parties (COP26) is taking place in Glasgow in the UK in November 2020 to discuss climate change.

Method:

I analysed Glasgow's weather for the last 21+ years to compare with the above statements. Raw weather data [Pressure max, min, mean; Temperature max, min ,mean; Dew point max, min, mean; Relative Humidity mean; Wind Speed max, min, mean; sunshine total; rainfall volume; and rainfall duration; has been collected daily from Glasgow Airport (EGPF) in METAR format from 05Oct1998 to present. There has been no homogenisation (human adjustments). I will update the charts monthly in the run up to November.

  • CO2 is a well-mixed gas in the atmosphere - see image 1
  • CO2 increases temperature - see Headline Fig 1
  • CO2 in perspective - see Fig 3
  • Temperatures will increase - see charts 1, 2, & 3
  • Storms will become more frequent and more severe - see charts 4 & 5
  • Drought will occur more frequently - see charts 6 & 7
  • Floods will occur more frequently - see charts 6 & 7
  • Sea level will rise by meters - see image 2

Summary:

Image 1 shows CO2 is not a well-mixed gas in the atmosphere; source NOAA/NASA OCO2 satellite

Headline Chart 1 shows CO2 does not increase temperatures (the correlation is negative) in Glasgow

Image 2 shows the miniscule amount of CO2 in the atmosphere; total 0.04%, man-made 0.0012%. UK 0.000012%

Charts 1, 2, & 3 show no significant trend in temperatures (max, min, mean). Temperature is not increasing

Charts 4 & 5 show no significant trends in pressure and wind speeds, therefore storms are not more frequent or more severe.

Charts 6 & 7 show there is no significant trend in rainfall volume or rainfall duration, and therefore no, more frequent droughts or floods.

Image 3 shows the trend of sea level rise (Portrush, NI) near Glasgow is 10mm/decade. It would therefore take 100 years to reach 1 meter at the current trend.

Conclusion:

The seven tenets of the UNFCCC and IPCC have not occurred in Glasgow for the last 21+ years.