Countdown to UNFCC COP26 Glasgow

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How embarrassing, none of what the IPCC tell us about climate change is happening in the place they will be holding their next big conference.

The beginning of the new climate science era, started in 1998 with the publication of the MBH98 paper depicting a Hockey Stick. Since October 1998 we have been told by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), NGOs, green environmentalists.politicians and the media:

• CO2 is a well-mixed gas in the atmosphere
• CO2 increases temperature
• Temperatures will increase by 1.5-5.0 Deg C
• Storms will become more frequent and more severe
• Drought will occur more frequently and be more severe
• Floods will occur more frequently and be more severe
• Sea levels will rise by meters

  • There is no empirical evidence CO2 is a well mixed gas in the atmosphere in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence CO2 increases temperature (the correlation is negative, as such the opposite occurs) in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence temperatures have increased in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of more frequent or severe storms in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of more frequent or severe droughts in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of more frequent of severe floods in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of sea level rise in single or multiple meters it would take 526 years to reach 1m near Glasgow


During November 2021, between 10,000 and 20,000 delegates, politicians and media will fly in from all over the world into Glasgow, Scotland to attend the COP26 conference

COP26 is taking place to discuss climate change and the policies the human race has to adopt to "save the planet".

The new climate hypothesis that CO2 increases temperatures began in 1998 with the infamous paper which depicted temperatures would increase significantly, the "hockey stick".

We have been collecting daily weather observations for Glasgow airport (EGPF) daily (48 observations per day), since October 1998. Empirical weather data includes:Pressure max, min, mean; Temperature max, min ,mean; Dew point max, min, mean; Relative Humidity mean; Wind Speed max, min, mean; sunshine total; rainfall volume; and rainfall duration and computed a Weather Index; Raw data is in METAR format and put into spreadsheets daily from 05Oct1998 to present. There has been no homogenisation (human adjustments).

The weather charts will be updated monthly in the run up to November.2021.

Analysis comparing each of the 7 tenets of the IPCC and activists, against real weather and climate in Glasgow; :


The IPCC say -

CO2 is a well mixed gas in the atmosphere

C02 increases temperature

Empirical evidence shows CO2 is not a well a well mixed gas in the atmosphere.In fact a perfectly natural phenomena where the world's rain forests, other large forested areas and plankton and other organisms in warmer parts of the oceans suck in CO2 to enable photosynthesis.

Empirical evidence shows CO2 does not increase temperature in Glasgow

At current trends CO2 will not increase temperatures by 2029, a so called climate period (1999-2029)

The IPCC say -

Temperatures will increase between 1.5 and 5.0 Deg C

Empirical evidence shows there is no statistically significant trend of maximum, minimum or mean daily temperatures in Glasgow

At current trends, temperatures will not even reach 1.0 Deg C by 2028, a so called climate period.(1999-2029)

The IPCC and/or activists say -

Storms will become more frequent and more severe

Storms can be measured by minimum atmospheric pressure and maximum wind speeds.

Empirical evidence shows there is no statistically significant trend in either minimum pressure or maximum wind speeds in Glasgow.

At current trends there will be no increase in the frequency or severity of storms by 2029, a so called climate period (1999-2029)

The IPCC does NOT say the following but activists say -

Droughts and floods will become more frequent and severe

Empirical evidence shows there is no statistically significant trend in either rainfall volume or duration. Therefore, droughts and floods are not becoming more frequent or severe in Glasgow.

At current trends there will be no more frequent or severe droughts or flooding by 2029, a so called climate period. (1999-2029)

The IPCC and/or activists say -

Sea levels will rise by meters

Empirical evidence shows sea levels are rising. Using the two longest records of sea levels -, Newlyn and North Shields UK and Millport (nearest to Glasgow).

Millport trend 1.60mm per year
Newlyn trend 1.84mm per year
North Shields 1.90mm per year

Highest tides:
Millport 5.07m
Newlyn 6.42m
North Shields 6.13m

Based on the highest trend 1.90mm It would take 526 years to reach 1m Bearing in mind protection from the highest tides are in place for 5-6.4m

Summary

The 7 tenets of the IPCC

  • CO2 is a well-mixed gas in the atmosphere
  • CO2 increases temperature
  • Temperatures will increase by between 1.5 and 5.0 Deg C
  • Storms will become more frequent and more severe
  • Drought will occur more frequently and be more severe
  • Floods will occur more frequently and be more severe
  • Sea levels will rise by multiple meters

The facts show
:

  • There is no empirical evidence CO2 is a well mixed gas in the atmosphere in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence CO2 increases temperature (the correlation is negative, as such the opposite occurs) in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence temperatures have increased in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of more frequent or severe storms in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of more frequent or severe droughts in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of more frequent of severe floods in Glasgow
  • There is no empirical evidence of sea level rise in single or multiple meters it would take 526 years to reach 1m near Glasgow

It is going to be a bit embarrassing for the IPCC to spout their 7 principles when none of them apply to the place they will be holding their conference..

But it is not just Glasgow, the whole of the UK (28 locations covering 95% of UK population) has the same results. UK Weather

Conclusions:

Climate does not change the weather, weather changes the climate (eventually) But has not been changing for in Glasgow or the UK.

There is no empirical evidence of any of the IPCC 7 proclamations. Consequently there is no need to change the way we have been living. There is no climate crisis, or climate emergency in the UK. The fact there is empirical evidence that CO2 does not increase temperature and is not a well mixed gas in the atmosphere, means there is no climate crisis or emergency in the whole world. Natural cycles control the weather and hence the climate. The recent rise in CO2, 97% natural, has greened the planet by 14% according to NASA.